SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.17%). The likeliest Emmen win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
39.59% ( -0.05) | 23% ( 0.02) | 37.41% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 65.32% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.13% ( -0.07) | 35.88% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.04% ( -0.08) | 57.96% ( 0.09) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.32% ( -0.05) | 18.68% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.98% ( -0.09) | 50.02% ( 0.1) |
| Emmen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.32% ( -0.01) | 19.68% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.34% ( -0.02) | 51.67% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | Emmen |
| 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.17% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 39.59% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.3% Total : 37.41% |
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