SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | De Graafschap |
38.54% ( -0.22) | 24.44% ( 0.22) | 37.02% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 59.81% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.99% ( -1.08) | 43.01% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.59% ( -1.07) | 65.41% ( 1.08) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -0.58) | 22.27% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.28% ( -0.89) | 55.72% ( 0.89) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.95% ( -0.48) | 23.05% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.12% ( -0.72) | 56.88% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| VVV-Venlo | Draw | De Graafschap |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 5.53% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.02% |
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