SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 28.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
47.71% ( 0) | 24.02% ( -0) | 28.27% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 57.85% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.9% ( 0) | 44.1% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.52% ( 0) | 66.48% ( -0) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0) | 18.62% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.08% ( 0) | 49.92% ( -0) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( -0) | 28.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.21% ( -0) | 64.8% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | Vitesse |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% 1-0 @ 9.05% 2-0 @ 7.61% 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.28% 4-1 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.71% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-1 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 28.27% |
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