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Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
AA

Vitesse
0 - 1
AZ

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Karlsson (29')
Sugawara (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Cambuur
Saturday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

With one eye on Tuesday's continental commitment, AZ could opt to field a relatively weaker starting lineup on Friday. Nonetheless, we are backing the away side to come away with all three points, albeit in hard-fought fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
24.26% (-1.519 -1.52) 23.54% (-0.113 -0.11) 52.2% (1.633 1.63)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-1.224 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (-0.879 -0.88)45.19% (0.881 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.848 -0.85)67.54% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-1.714 -1.71)32.61% (1.716 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-1.967 -1.97)69.15% (1.969 1.97)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (0.28099999999999 0.28)17.31% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (0.49 0.49)47.67% (-0.488 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 24.26%
    AZ Alkmaar 52.2%
    Draw 23.53%
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.456 0.46)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.476 0.48)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 5.08% (0.322 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.49% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.23% (0.161 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 52.2%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-0 Vitesse
Saturday, February 18 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-0 Utrecht
Sunday, February 12 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Emmen 2-2 Vitesse
Saturday, February 4 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-3 Vitesse
Saturday, January 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 2-2 FC Twente
Wednesday, January 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Cambuur
Saturday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 AZ
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 5-0 Excelsior
Friday, February 10 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 1-2 Utrecht
Tuesday, February 7 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Volendam 1-1 AZ
Saturday, February 4 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 5-5 Utrecht
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Eredivisie


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