Neither team can claim to be in particularly good form ahead of this contest, throwing up the possibility of an upset. However, there is an inevitability about Ajax rediscovering their clinical touch at some stage, and we feel that the home side will rise to the occasion at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 74.28%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Feyenoord had a probability of 10.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 3-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Feyenoord win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
Ajax	Draw	Feyenoord
74.28%	14.73%	10.99%

Both teams to score 59.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.79%

27.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.24%

47.76%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.77%

6.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.48%

23.52%

Feyenoord Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.38%

36.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.6%

73.4%

Score Analysis

Ajax 74.28%

Feyenoord 10.99%

Draw 14.73%

Ajax	Draw	Feyenoord
2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 8.18% 3-0 @ 8.14% 1-0 @ 6.33% 4-1 @ 5.68% 4-0 @ 5.65% 3-2 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 3.15% 5-0 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 2.85% 5-2 @ 1.58% 6-1 @ 1.46% 6-0 @ 1.45% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 4% Total : 74.28%	1-1 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 4.44% 0-0 @ 2.28% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.27% Total : 14.73%	1-2 @ 3.2% 0-1 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-2 @ 1.15% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.99%