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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 1-3 (5.59%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
32.56% ( -1.09) | 21.88% ( -0.03) | 45.56% ( 1.13) |
| Both teams to score 68.34% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.58% ( -0.27) | 31.42% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.12% ( -0.32) | 52.88% ( 0.33) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% ( -0.68) | 20.02% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.78% ( -1.11) | 52.22% ( 1.11) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( 0.29) | 14.55% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.41% ( 0.56) | 42.59% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.08)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.14% Total : 32.56% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 7% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.53% Total : 21.88% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.59% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.19)2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 2.7% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.09)3-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.51% Total : 45.56% |
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