SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
31.38% ( 0.02) | 23.61% ( 0.01) | 45.01% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.52% ( -0.07) | 40.48% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.14% ( -0.07) | 62.86% ( 0.07) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% ( -0.03) | 25.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.26% ( -0.04) | 59.73% ( 0.03) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( -0.04) | 18.28% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.65% ( -0.07) | 49.35% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.38% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 45.01% |
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