SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bala Town win with a probability of 52.98%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bala Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
52.98% ( -0.05) | 23.78% ( -0) | 23.24% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.75% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.75% ( 0.07) | 47.25% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.52% ( 0.06) | 69.48% ( -0.06) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( 0.01) | 17.78% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.51% ( 0.01) | 48.49% ( -0) |
| Caernarfon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% ( 0.09) | 34.63% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.65% ( 0.09) | 71.35% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.42% 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.58% Total : 52.98% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0)Other @ 2.1% Total : 23.24% |
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