SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 23 | 18 | 43 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 24 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 23 | 5 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Sofia win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Sofia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| CSKA Sofia | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
41.95% ( -0.19) | 25.67% ( 0.02) | 32.38% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.56% ( -0.01) | 49.44% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.52% ( -0.01) | 71.48% ( 0.01) |
| CSKA Sofia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( -0.09) | 23.4% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.61% ( -0.14) | 57.39% ( 0.14) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.19% ( 0.11) | 28.81% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.34% ( 0.14) | 64.66% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| CSKA Sofia | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.03% Total : 41.95% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.38% |
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