SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 24 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 24 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 24 | 6 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for CSKA Sofia had a probability of 26.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a CSKA Sofia win it was 0-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that CSKA Sofia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | CSKA Sofia |
46.69% ( 0.04) | 27.13% ( -0.01) | 26.18% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.67% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.06% ( 0.01) | 57.94% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.36% ( 0.01) | 78.64% ( -0.01) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.17% ( 0.03) | 24.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.58% ( 0.04) | 59.42% ( -0.03) |
| CSKA Sofia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.08% ( -0.02) | 37.92% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.31% ( -0.02) | 74.69% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | CSKA Sofia |
| 1-0 @ 13.11% 2-0 @ 9.14% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0)3-2 @ 2% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 26.18% |
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