Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 25.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
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