SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 22.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Fiorentina |
22.94% ( 0.55) | 23.06% ( -0.22) | 54.01% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( 1.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.57% ( 1.55) | 44.43% ( -1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.2% ( 1.48) | 66.8% ( -1.48) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% ( 1.35) | 33.35% ( -1.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.03% ( 1.46) | 69.97% ( -1.46) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( 0.44) | 16.38% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.98% ( 0.78) | 46.02% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 6% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 22.94% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.2)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.05% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.34)1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.08)0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.01% |
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