SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Fiorentina |
44.99% ( -0.19) | 25.37% ( 0.05) | 29.64% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.26% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.15) | 49.22% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -0.14) | 71.28% ( 0.14) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( -0.15) | 21.86% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.9% ( -0.23) | 55.1% ( 0.23) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.44% ( 0.02) | 30.56% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.21% ( 0.03) | 66.79% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.64% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
