SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
57.2% ( 0.3) | 22.45% ( -0.09) | 20.34% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.08% ( 0.11) | 44.92% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.72% ( 0.1) | 67.27% ( -0.11) |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.53% ( 0.13) | 15.46% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.67% ( 0.25) | 44.33% ( -0.26) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.91% ( -0.15) | 36.08% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.13% ( -0.16) | 72.86% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 57.19% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.34% |
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