SM
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 10 | 6 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Iceland | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Luxembourg | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 2 | -11 | 0 |
| Current Group J Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 10 | 6 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Iceland | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Luxembourg | 2 | -6 | 1 |
| 6 | Liechtenstein | 2 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 82.5%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 4.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.93%) and 1-0 (13.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Liechtenstein win it was 0-1 (2.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Luxembourg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luxembourg | Draw | Liechtenstein |
82.5% ( -1.83) | 12.94% ( 1.12) | 4.56% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 31.65% ( 1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( -1.43) | 44.49% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( -1.4) | 66.86% ( 1.41) |
| Luxembourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.63% ( -0.74) | 8.37% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.88% ( -1.89) | 29.12% ( 1.89) |
| Liechtenstein Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 34.54% ( 2.06) | 65.46% ( -2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.8% ( 0.84) | 93.2% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luxembourg | Draw | Liechtenstein |
| 2-0 @ 16.85% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 13.93% ( -0.7)1-0 @ 13.58% ( 0.34)4-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.77)2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.45)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.16)5-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.56)4-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.09)6-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.63% Total : 82.48% | 1-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.56) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.19% Total : 12.94% | 0-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.2)Other @ 1.02% Total : 4.56% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
