SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Lazio |
53.78% ( 0.37) | 23.92% ( -0.08) | 22.3% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% ( 0.03) | 48.82% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% ( 0.03) | 70.92% ( -0.03) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.15) | 18.07% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.01% ( 0.26) | 48.99% ( -0.26) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% ( -0.26) | 36.37% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.84% ( -0.26) | 73.16% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.77% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.81% Total : 22.3% |
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