Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.