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Premier League | Gameweek 36
May 13, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Elland Road
NL

Leeds
2 - 2
Newcastle

Ayling (7'), Kristensen (79')
Firpo (59'), Gnonto (68'), Robles (69'), Bamford (90+2')
Firpo (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilson (31' pen., 69' pen.)
Guimaraes (57'), Wilson (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 57.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 20.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawNewcastle United
20.85% (0.012 0.01) 21.95% (0.0010000000000012 0) 57.19% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.51% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (0.011000000000003 0.01)42.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)64.41% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.08% (0.016999999999996 0.02)33.92% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)70.59% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.52% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)14.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.45%
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 20.85%
    Newcastle United 57.19%
    Draw 21.95%
Leeds UnitedDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 5.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 5.31%
2-0 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 20.85%
1-1 @ 10.26%
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 9.92%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 9.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.39% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 5.91% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 3.09%
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 1.19%
0-5 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 57.19%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 4-1 Leeds
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-1 Leicester
Tuesday, April 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-6 Liverpool
Monday, April 17 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 1-5 Crystal Palace
Sunday, April 9 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 Arsenal
Sunday, May 7 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 3-1 Southampton
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-4 Newcastle
Thursday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 6-1 Spurs
Sunday, April 23 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 1-2 Newcastle
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Premier League


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