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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | AC Milan |
37.79% ( -0.42) | 24.17% ( -0.07) | 38.04% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.3% ( 0.34) | 41.7% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.9% ( 0.34) | 64.1% ( -0.34) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( -0.06) | 22.07% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% ( -0.09) | 55.42% ( 0.09) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( 0.4) | 21.94% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.78% ( 0.6) | 55.22% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | AC Milan |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.79% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.04% |
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