SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 76.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Groningen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Heracles |
76.81% ( 0.3) | 14.32% ( -0.21) | 8.86% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.56% ( 0.75) | 32.43% ( -0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.93% ( 0.87) | 54.07% ( -0.87) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.08% ( 0.22) | 6.91% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.61% ( 0.6) | 25.38% ( -0.6) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.48% ( 0.34) | 44.51% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.45% ( 0.28) | 80.54% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.06)6-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.58% Total : 76.81% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.99% Total : 14.32% | 1-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.7% Total : 8.86% |
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