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CONCACAF Gold Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 9, 2023 at 12am UK
AT&T Stadium
QN

Panama
4 - 0
Qatar

Joel Barcenas (19'), Diaz (56', 63', 65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Panama 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, July 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Mexico 0-1 Qatar
Monday, July 3 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Mexico356
2Qatar304
3Honduras3-34
4Haiti3-23

We said: Panama 2-1 Qatar (extra-time)

These two experienced sides have shown a lot of resilience so far in this competition, and realistically this match could go either way. We will give the Panamanians the edge, however, because as a team, they have been a lot sharper going forward, and many of their regulars will be well-rested, which should come in handy the longer this match is deadlocked. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Qatar had a probability of 20.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Qatar win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.

Result
PanamaDrawQatar
55.17%24.38%20.45%
Both teams to score 48.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29%52.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65%74.35%
Panama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99%19.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.43%50.57%
Qatar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.56%40.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95%77.05%
Score Analysis
    Panama 55.16%
    Qatar 20.45%
    Draw 24.38%
PanamaDrawQatar
1-0 @ 12.76%
2-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.59%
3-0 @ 5.86%
3-1 @ 5.31%
4-0 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 2.2%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 55.16%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.38%
0-1 @ 6.96%
1-2 @ 5.23%
0-2 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 1.58%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Panama 2-2 El Salvador
Wednesday, July 5 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Martinique 1-2 Panama
Friday, June 30 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Costa Rica 1-2 Panama
Tuesday, June 27 at 2am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Panama 0-1 Mexico
Sunday, June 18 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 0-2 Canada
Friday, June 16 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 3-2 Nicaragua
Sunday, June 11 at 1am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-1 Qatar
Monday, July 3 at 2.30am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Qatar 1-1 Honduras
Friday, June 30 at 12.45am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 Qatar
Sunday, June 25 at 11pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Qatar 0-1 New Zealand
Monday, June 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Jamaica 1-2 Qatar
Thursday, June 15 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 2-0 Qatar
Tuesday, November 29 at 3pm in World Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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