SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Mali had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.42%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Mali win it was 0-1 (8.99%).
| Result | ||
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Mali |
47.67% ( -0.01) | 27.05% ( -0) | 25.28% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.19% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.81% ( 0.02) | 58.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.16% ( 0.02) | 78.84% ( -0.02) |
| Ivory Coast Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.53% ( 0.01) | 24.47% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.08% ( 0.01) | 58.92% ( -0.01) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.16% ( 0.02) | 38.84% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.42% ( 0.02) | 75.58% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ivory Coast | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 13.38% 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0)2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.56% 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 47.67% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 25.28% |
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