SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Netherlands | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Senegal | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ecuador | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Mali has a probability of 29.99% and a draw has a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.75%). The likeliest Mali win is 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.36%).
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Mali |
40.4% ( -0.07) | 29.61% ( 0.02) | 29.99% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.48% ( -0.05) | 64.52% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.44% ( -0.03) | 83.55% ( 0.03) |
| Senegal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.65% ( -0.07) | 31.35% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.29% ( -0.08) | 67.71% ( 0.08) |
| Mali Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.57% ( 0.02) | 38.43% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.81% ( 0.02) | 75.18% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Senegal | Draw | Mali |
| 1-0 @ 13.97% 2-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.39% | 1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.6% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.6% Total : 29.99% |
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