Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 45.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Tokyo would win this match.
