Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.56%) and 2-1 (7.49%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (12.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
