Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
