Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sagan Tosu win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Shimizu S-Pulse had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Shimizu S-Pulse win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
