Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Gamba Osaka
37.59%	29.29%	33.12%

Both teams to score 43.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.07%

62.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.59%

82.41%

Shimizu S-Pulse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.76%

32.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.27%

68.73%

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.78%

35.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02%

71.97%

Score Analysis

Shimizu S-Pulse 37.59%

Gamba Osaka 33.11%

Draw 29.28%

Shimizu S-Pulse	Draw	Gamba Osaka
1-0 @ 12.85% 2-1 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 2.87% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.77% Total : 37.59%	1-1 @ 13.41% 0-0 @ 11.35% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.28%	0-1 @ 11.84% 1-2 @ 7% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 2.44% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.12% Total : 33.11%