SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 29.72% | 28.27% | 42.01% |
| Both teams to score 45.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.73% | 60.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.56% | 80.44% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% | 36.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.91% | 73.09% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.68% | 28.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.95% | 64.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 10.41% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 5.28% 3-1 @ 2.25% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 1.92% Total : 29.71% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 12.97% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.1% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.69% Total : 42.01% |
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