Alaves have been impressive in their last two league matches, and we are backing the home side to pick up another positive result here. It would not be a surprise to see a draw, as Cadiz have shared the points in nine of their 20 league matches this season, but Alaves should have enough to shade this contest.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 22.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
0.34) 
-0.15) 
