Las Palmas are in excellent form at the moment, but Rayo are a difficult side to beat, and we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Rayo did the double over Las Palmas when the two teams last met in Spain's top flight in 2015-16, but we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
