Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.