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Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 21, 2023 at 8pm UK
Anfield
RM

Liverpool
2 - 5
Real Madrid

Nunez (4'), Salah (14')
Elliott (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Junior (21', 36'), Militao (47'), Benzema (55', 67')
Junior (60')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 Liverpool
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
LiverpoolDrawReal Madrid
43.85% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 25.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 30.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.63% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (0.0040000000000049 0)23% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.8% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)30.76% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.97% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)67.03% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 43.84%
    Real Madrid 30.37%
    Draw 25.78%
LiverpoolDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.6%
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 43.84%
1-1 @ 12.25%
0-0 @ 7.07%
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 7.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 30.37%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 0-2 Liverpool
Saturday, February 18 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-0 Everton
Monday, February 13 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 3-0 Liverpool
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Liverpool
Sunday, January 29 at 1.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Chelsea
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Liverpool
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Elche
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 5-3 Al-Hilal
Saturday, February 11 at 7pm in Club World Cup
Last Game: Al Ahly 1-4 Real Madrid
Wednesday, February 8 at 7pm in Club World Cup
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, February 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Valencia
Thursday, February 2 at 8pm in La Liga


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