This has all of the makings of a very, very interesting game of football, and Real Sociedad will certainly believe that they are capable of picking up a positive result on Saturday. Sevilla will be hoping that the Basque side can do them a favour, but we believe that Los Blancos will shade a close match in Madrid.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 58.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
