Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.2) 
