SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Barcelona |
43.55% ( 0.39) | 23.55% ( 0.56) | 32.89% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 62.15% ( -2.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.42% ( -3.08) | 39.58% ( 3.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.07% ( -3.29) | 61.93% ( 3.29) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.48% ( -1.08) | 18.52% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.24% ( -1.86) | 49.76% ( 1.87) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.28% ( -1.98) | 23.72% ( 1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.15% ( -2.93) | 57.85% ( 2.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.79)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 43.55% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.6)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.54)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.32)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.96% Total : 32.89% |
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