Valencia will be full of confidence following their Copa del Rey success on Wednesday, and we are expecting Los Che to secure another victory in this match. Granada will be the fresher of the two sides, but they have been struggling in recent weeks and could lose once again on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Granada had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.