Sevilla will be in a confident mood after their win over West Ham, and they need to triumph on Sunday in order to stay in touch at the top of the division. We are expecting a tight match this weekend but believe that Sevilla will have enough quality, despite their injury problems, to secure a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 1-2 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 1-0 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Sevilla
27.13%	28.2%	44.67%

Both teams to score 44.47%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.92%

61.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.95%

81.05%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.16%

38.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.43%

75.57%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.72%

27.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.28%

62.71%

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 27.12%

Sevilla 44.66%

Draw 28.19%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 4.74% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-0 @ 1.49% 3-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.53% Total : 27.12%	1-1 @ 13.01% 0-0 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.19%	0-1 @ 13.76% 0-2 @ 8.94% 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-3 @ 3.87% 1-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.26% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.8% Total : 44.66%