Las Palmas' recent improvement is encouraging, and they are more than capable of picking up a positive result on Friday despite their struggles this season. Rayo have impressed during the 2024-25 campaign, though, and we are backing the capital side to navigate their way to all three points in this contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.