SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 13.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Shelbourne |
64.9% ( 0.08) | 21.38% ( 0.01) | 13.71% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 43.92% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% ( -0.24) | 51.41% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.77% ( -0.21) | 73.22% ( 0.21) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.86% ( -0.05) | 15.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.29% ( -0.1) | 43.71% ( 0.1) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.75% ( -0.3) | 48.24% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.59% ( -0.21) | 83.41% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 13.78% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 13.01% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.46% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 64.89% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.38% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 13.71% |
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