Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
