Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
