Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 33.59% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.58%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (11.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
