SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Bohemians | 19 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 19 | -7 | 24 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 19 | -10 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 20 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 19 | 14 | 37 |
| 3 | Derry City | 20 | 15 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 35.92%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (12.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Dundalk |
35.01% ( 0.83) | 29.06% ( -0.11) | 35.92% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 44.68% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.95% ( 0.42) | 62.05% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.22% ( 0.31) | 81.77% ( -0.31) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( 0.78) | 33.45% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% ( 0.85) | 70.08% ( -0.85) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( -0.25) | 32.85% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.58% ( -0.27) | 69.42% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.6% Total : 29.05% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.46% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.92% |
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