Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finn Harps win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 26.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finn Harps win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
