SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finn Harps win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finn Harps win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Finn Harps |
30.08% ( 1.3) | 27.66% ( 0.49) | 42.27% ( -1.79) |
| Both teams to score 47.52% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42% ( -1.28) | 58% ( 1.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.31% ( -1.02) | 78.69% ( 1.02) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.19% ( 0.31) | 34.81% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( 0.33) | 71.54% ( -0.33) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% ( -1.52) | 27.1% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% ( -2.04) | 62.49% ( 2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Finn Harps |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.56) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 12.31% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 8.04% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.26% |
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