Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 46.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 25.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 1-0 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
