SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 27 | -14 | 30 |
| 9 | University College Dublin | 26 | -33 | 16 |
| 10 | Finn Harps | 26 | -24 | 15 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 25 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 25 | 5 | 35 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 25 | 0 | 32 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 36.53%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (11.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Finn Harps | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
35.14% ( 0.16) | 28.33% ( -0.06) | 36.53% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.81% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.54% ( 0.23) | 59.46% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.17% ( 0.17) | 79.83% ( -0.17) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( 0.22) | 32.02% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.51% ( 0.25) | 68.49% ( -0.25) |
| Sligo Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.86% ( 0.05) | 31.14% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.53% ( 0.06) | 67.47% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Finn Harps | Draw | Sligo Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.14% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.52% |
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