Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	MK Dons
44.25% ( 1.61)	26.73% ( -0.53)	29.01% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 49.67% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.99% (

1.54)

55% (

-1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.72% (

1.26)

76.27% (

-1.26)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.28% (

1.51)

24.71% (

-1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.74% (

2.07)

59.26% (

-2.07)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.97% (

-0)

34.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.29% (

-0)

70.71%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 44.25%

MK Dons 29.01%

Draw 26.73%

Exeter City	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.28) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.15) Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.25%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.73%	0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.3% Total : 29.01%