Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 18.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (6.02%).
0.08) 
-0.04) 
