Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
40.36% (![]() | 26.41% (![]() | 33.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.39% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% (![]() | 52.31% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.99% (![]() | 74.01% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% (![]() | 25.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.66% (![]() | 60.34% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.32% (![]() | 29.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.27% (![]() | 65.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 10.34% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.58% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.22% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.38% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.36% | 1-1 @ 12.56% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.63% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.22% |
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