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Saturday, April 19
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League Two | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
AS

Morecambe
2 - 0
Accrington

Angol (54'), Garner (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Walton (43'), Love (60'), Henderson (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Accrington
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Accrington Stanley

Both teams have struggled recently, but the visitors have shown flashes of brilliance this season as exemplified by their victories over Colchester United, Grimsby Town and Crewe Alexandra in recent times. That said, the visitors are likely to edge this fixture and we predict a 2-1 for Doolan's team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
44.5% (0.184 0.18) 25.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 29.82% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.34% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.54% (0.024000000000001 0.02)50.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.61% (0.021000000000001 0.02)72.38% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.095999999999989 0.1)22.62% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (0.143 0.14)56.23% (-0.145 -0.15)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.93% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)31.07% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.61% (-0.121 -0.12)67.38% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 44.49%
    Accrington Stanley 29.82%
    Draw 25.67%
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.76% (0.037 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 8.21% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.8% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 29.82%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Notts County 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Morecambe
Tuesday, February 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 1-0 Accrington
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Port Vale 2-1 Accrington
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, January 28 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Accrington 0-3 Notts County
Saturday, January 18 at 3pm in League Two


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